HEI-EPA WORKSHOP ON MOBILE SOURCE AIR
TOXICS: EXPOSURE AND RISK
8 February 2000
Washington, D.C.
Perspective of the Respondent, Robert F. Sawyer, Professor
of the Graduate School, University of California at Berkeley, and Member of the Health
Effects Institute Research Committee
Establishing the risk to the public of mobile source air
toxics suffers from a number of uncertainties. The magnitude of both on-road and off-road
mobile source toxics emissions, or the carbon monoxide emissions to which they are
methodologically tied, is uncertain, perhaps by a factor of two or more. The use of
ambient CO as a surrogate for mobile source emissions introduces additional uncertainties
in that neither evaporative hydrocarbons nor tailpipe particulates (largely from diesel
engines), both important sources of toxics, are related to the tailpipe emissions from
gasoline engines. Potencies for many of the toxics are similarly uncertain, by a factor of
10 or more. Toxics additional to those being considered, for example non-diesel
particulates and higher aldehydes, may also be important. Uncertainties in future
emissions and exposures come from growth projections and predicting the effectiveness of
control measures.
The very complex models employed to estimate exposure are
inconsistent with the sparse data upon which they are based. Future efforts should focus
on ambient and personal exposure measurements for the most important toxics. Uncertainties
notwithstanding, mobile sources appear to dominate air toxics. Fortunately, control
programs now in place for ozone precursors and particulates are effective in reducing
mobile source air toxics. Further reduction of benzene is anticipated through reducing
gasoline benzene levels and capping aromatics. Reduction of formaldehyde will result from
the recommended reduction in the use of methyl tertiary butyl ether (MTBE) as a fuel
additive. Secondary formaldehyde will be reduced by the same controls that reduce ozone.
It should be anticipated that an increase in the use of ethanol will increase ambient
acetaldehyde. Reducing mobile source air toxics is not the sole responsibility of the
USEPA. The states have an important role in the development of effective inspection and
repair programs to address in-use vehicle emissions problems. They also can adopt federal
reformulated gasoline and can further regulate fuels as may be effective in their
particular states.
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